Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.008254 0.009263 0.010368 0.011671 0.013171 0.014847 0.016871
2025-05-11 0.006695 0.008061 0.009687 0.011779 0.014421 0.017676 0.022033
2025-05-18 0.005737 0.007229 0.009102 0.011656 0.015092 0.019620 0.026147
2025-05-25 0.005147 0.006725 0.008797 0.011759 0.015961 0.021827 0.030843
2025-06-01 0.004625 0.006228 0.008409 0.011655 0.016473 0.023539 0.035034
2025-06-08 0.004116 0.005682 0.007877 0.011257 0.016468 0.024446 0.038083
2025-06-15 0.003816 0.005395 0.007672 0.011295 0.017096 0.026359 0.043001
2025-06-22 0.003658 0.005293 0.007722 0.011711 0.018344 0.029404 0.050324
2025-06-29 0.003369 0.004966 0.007393 0.011486 0.018505 0.030633 0.054580
2025-07-06 0.003110 0.004662 0.007070 0.011230 0.018571 0.031683 0.058649
2025-07-13 0.002929 0.004465 0.006899 0.011206 0.019029 0.033486 0.064494
2025-07-20 0.002832 0.004393 0.006921 0.011512 0.020111 0.036591 0.073597
2025-07-27 0.002669 0.004210 0.006757 0.011496 0.020641 0.038803 0.081472
2025-08-03 0.002537 0.004068 0.006654 0.011587 0.021401 0.041625 0.091453
2025-08-10 0.002384 0.003880 0.006452 0.011466 0.021716 0.043548 0.099703
2025-08-17 0.002280 0.003767 0.006371 0.011568 0.022496 0.046602 0.111547
2025-08-24 0.002156 0.003609 0.006197 0.011466 0.022828 0.048692 0.121359
2025-08-31 0.002005 0.003391 0.005894 0.011075 0.022481 0.049128 0.126676
2025-09-07 0.001921 0.003291 0.005805 0.011113 0.023096 0.051995 0.139834
2025-09-14 0.001888 0.003283 0.005889 0.011520 0.024612 0.057391 0.162336
2025-09-21 0.001785 0.003135 0.005690 0.011300 0.024614 0.058843 0.172586
2025-09-28 0.001686 0.002989 0.005486 0.011049 0.024510 0.060000 0.182208
2025-10-05 0.001619 0.002899 0.005387 0.011025 0.024970 0.062802 0.198542